Evaluating the impact of an invasive pathogen on tree population decline: An evidence based modelling approach.

Output - Publications

Publications LCNR associated Ecology

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Forest Ecology and Management (2024)

Highlights

A complexity-appropriate model was developed to forecast an invasive forest disease
If 15 % of trees are resistant they create an efficient buffer against population decline
Our modelling framework helps prediction, error assessment, and scenario building

Ecology

Testing the effectiveness of different ecological approaches for nature recovery to support biodiversity and the delivery of ecosystem services such as climate change mitigation and adaptation.

forest in leaf showing trees dying due to ash dieback

Exploring the ecological effects of forest pests and diseases in a changing world

We leverage experimental and synthesised data approaches to create integrative models that predict the effects of pests and pathogens on forest ecology.