Systems

Research Theme

Developing a novel Analysis and Decision Platform to integrate nature recovery into land-use and infrastructure planning, and exploring scenarios that can deliver local, national and international commitments to nature, climate change and sustainable development.

Photo by Justin Wilkens on Unsplash

About

The emerging proliferation of nature recovery actions need to be coordinated, and the vast amounts of data need to be analysed, in a way that satisfies the wide range of aspirations and values that people and organisations have for nature recovery. We also need to support the delivery of local, national and international ambitions and commitments to nature, health, human rights, food production and climate change mitigation. These commitments have synergies and overlaps, but also trade-offs that need to be exposed and navigated.

To tackle this challenge, we will build an Analysis and Decision Platform that integrates the scientific insights and societal considerations developed though our Ecology and Society Themes, with large and complex data developed through our Scale Theme. State-of-the-art AI tools will help design new approaches for collective decision-making within and across landscapes.

The knowledge system will first be applied and tested in detail in our Case Studies. The system will enable us to connect human insights with multi-scalar datasets to inform local decision making and integrate local outcomes with global drivers and targets. This will allow us to investigate the design features of new forms of collective intelligence and will, thus, become a testbed for governance and finance innovations for nature recovery.

In this theme we will also explore how synergies and conflicts between nature recovery, other social and cultural values, and other development objectives that compete for land (agriculture, urbanisation, infrastructure) can be integrated at different spatial scales. We will also explore how different elements of nature recovery combine and scale, leading to integrated strategies for nature that match local and organisational contexts and goals, building resilience for ecosystems and society, while also contributing to national and international goals.

Related Projects

NATURE Impacts: National Assessment Tool for Understanding Relative Environmental Impacts

A forward-looking tool to track global progress, prioritise national action, and maximise impact for nature recovery

Photo by Jeremy Waterhouse: https://www.pexels.com/photo/yellow-and-black-excavator-on-green-field-near-leafless-trees-12063807/

Coordinating Research Around Biodiversity Net Gain

At its heart, BNG frames a challenging question: in a world where new housing, workplaces and other land use needs are deemed essential; is it possible to provide this infrastructure without Nature bearing the brunt of the costs?

Pioneering Nature-Positive Pathways: Organisational Approaches for delivering Nature Recovery

Understanding the methods and actions required by large organisations to deliver effective and equitable biodiversity outcomes in line with achieving global nature recovery goals.

Rethinking the role of state institutions in nature recovery

In England there has been a long-term trend towards the retrenchment of direct state spending and the role of government in nature conservation policy – what could an alternative vision for the state look like?

Photo by Adityan Ashokan on Unsplash

Extension service provision facilitating landscape-scale nature recovery

Examining the role of farm advisors in the adoption of environmental land management practices

Photo:Georg Eiermann, Unsplash

Assessing urban ecosystem composition and function to understand pathways towards equitable, Nature-smart cities

Through considering the ecosystem composition and functioning of Greater London, I hope to provide not only a comprehensive analysis of nature of in cities as it currently stands, but I also hope to provide routes to improving nature in these areas based on this.

An Aspirational Approach to Planetary Futures

Researchers the Center join the United Nations Development Programme to propose an optimistic, practical approach to inspire stronger action on nature.

Designing effective Nature Restoration Funds in theory and practice

Collating the evidence from theory and nature restoration funds around the world to inform the next generation of conservation compensation funds

rrainforest in the fog

Gold at the Margins: Analysing how fragmented governance and risk regimes shape ecological outcomes and exclusion in global mineral supply chains.

How formalisation policies, enforcement practices, and international due diligence regimes influence both ecological outcomes and local livelihoods.

Environment and National Security: Exploring Policy ‘Demand Signals’ and the Science Response

This 6-month research project is exploring urgent evidence needs and use in response to the climate and biosphere emergency and its implications for UK national security.

Feedbacks between forest eco-evolution and the atmosphere

Related Outputs

Publications LCNR supported Systems

An aspirational approach to planetary futures

Erle C. Ellis, Yadvinder Malhi, Hannah Ritchie, Jasper Montana, Sandra Díaz, David Obura, Susan Clayton, Melissa Leach, Laura Pereira, Emma Marris, Michael Muthukrishna, Bojie Fu, Peter Frankopan, Molly K. Grace, Samira Barzin, Krushil Watene, Nicholas Depsky, Josefin Pasanen & Pedro Conceição

Nature (2025)

A new paper in Nature Prevailing frameworks to address planetary environmental challenges tend to focus on setting goals, targets, or boundaries to limit human harm to ecosystems or species. Here we propose an aspirational approach aimed at empowering people to shape a better future for all of life on Earth.

Publications LCNR supported Systems Finance

Can Biodiversity Markets Deliver Inclusive and Collaborative Nature Recovery? Lessons From Different Habitat Banking Models in England

M. Troiano, S. O. S. E. zu Ermgassen, N. E. Duffus, I. Hawkins, S. Gall, R. Mascia, M. Whitney, H. Thomas, M. Hirons

Environmental Policy and Governance (2026)

Publications LCNR supported Systems

A Critical Year for Nature: Now is the time to accelerate action on the Global Biodiversity Framework

E.J. Milner-Gulland, Éilish Farrelly , Talitha Bromwich, Cecil Haverkamp, Stefania Karlsdottir, Noelle Kumpel, Lain E Pardo, Rebecca Shaw, Thomas B White, Guido Broekhoven, Sarah Jones, Michael Obersteiner, Piero Visconti, Kotone Yamamoto, Mike Barrett

EcoEvoRixv (2026)

Publications LCNR supported Systems

Mapping monitoring resources to support progress tracking of global biodiversity-related commitments

Stefania Karlsdottir, Éilish Farrelly , Mike Barrett, Elsie McDowell, E.J. Milner-Gulland, Thomas B White, Talitha Bromwich

EcoEvoRxiv (2026)

Publications LCNR supported Finance Systems

Challenges and pathways for matching corporate value-chain biodiversity losses and gains

Durand, M., White, T. B., Bromwich, T., zu Ermgassen, S. O. S. E., & Martinet, V.

Conservation Biology (2026)

Publications LCNR supported Ecology Systems

Evidence‐based practice in consultancy settings is a win–win for business and nature

Thomas B. White, Graham W. Prescott, Benjamin Jobson, William Morgan, Rebecca K. Smith, Malcolm Starkey, Laura J. Sonter

Ecological Solutions and Evidence (2026)

Publications LCNR supported Systems

A Typology of Corporate Actions for aNature-Positive Future

Bang A; White T; Bennun L; Booth H; Bromwich T; Bull J; Farrelly É; Martin R; Milner-Gulland EJ; Starkey M; Sonter LJ

EcoEvoRixv (2025)

Publications LCNR supported Systems Finance Policy engagement for nature recovery

Catalyzing transformative change for climate and biodiversity finance within COP policy discourses

Sara Löfqvist , Giacomo Delgado, Sophus O.S.E zu Ermgassen, Elodie Adam, Benjamin S. Thompson, Jayden Engert, Harrison Carter, Lily Xu, Jessica Smith, Irene Suárez Pérez, Siddarth Shrikanth, Carolina Bello, Pedro H. S. Brancalion, Ngonidzashe Chirinda, Daisy H. Dent, Katie Kedward, Omar R. Lopez, Nathalia Pérez-Cárdenas, Rachele Quaglino, Wulan Pusparini, Cesar Augusto Ruiz-Agudelo, Jocelyne S. Sze, Katharina Runge, Leland Werden, Puninda Thind

EcoEvoRixv (2026)

Publications LCNR supported Systems Finance

Designing ecologically effective and economically efficient conservation compensation funds: lessons from theory and practice

Hawkins, Isobel & Gao, Shuo & Kim, Youngho & Teytelboym, Alexander & Bull, Joseph W. & Maron, Martine & Milner-Gulland, E.J. & Kate, Kerry ten & Theis, Sebastian & zu Ermgassen, Sophus,

SocArXiv (2025)

Publications LCNR supported Finance Systems Society

Power to the people and planet: democratising nature finance

Rust, Niki and Stuart, Alice and Newing, Helen and McDermott, Constance L and Golden-Kroner, Rachel and roe, dilys and Adams, Justin,

SSRN (2025)

Report LCNR supported Ecology Finance Systems

Can we trust BNG for woodland?

Alice Stuart, Sarah Gall, Natalie Duffus, Sophus zu Ermgassen

A report for the Woodland Trust (2025)