Bridging Field Data and Vegetation Models: Forest Carbon Cycling Across Scales

Project

Vegetation models have been used by many organisations (including the IPCC) to predict climate change on a global scale, but are these models getting the current ecosystem right?

A prerequisite for a successful nature recovery project is the ability to accurately predict forest recovery trajectories at the planning stage, and to precisely monitor progress during the execution stage. It has long been a dream to create a digital representation of a restored ecosystem. Vegetation models are tremendously useful tools in this regard because: (1) they can make predictions about the future, (2) they can upscale individual tree measurements to the scale of an entire study area, and (3) they can infer carbon fluxes that are difficult to measure directly.

Typically, dynamic global vegetation models progress through several scales:

(a) Leaf scale – Models often begin by calculating the rate of photosynthesis per leaf.
(b) Canopy scale – Photosynthesis per leaf area is upscaled to the whole canopy to derive gross primary productivity (GPP) of a forest.
(c) Vegetation cohort scale – GPP is partitioned into autotrophic respiration and net primary productivity, and then further allocated into different components (stems, roots, etc.) of vegetation.
(d) Ecosystem scale – At this scale, carbon flows from vegetation into necromass and soil. Many models also account for multiple plant functional types, land-use types, and disturbances such as fire.

Thus, a vegetation model incorporates many processes, all of which must be supported by ecological theory and field measurements. In this project, we aim to bridge field measurements and vegetation models across multiple scales, with the goal of improving our understanding of ecological processes and their numerical representation (i.e. vegetation models). Our work focuses on the following areas:

(1) Plant functional traits and theories related to photosynthetic traits
(2) Carbon flux measurements and simulations, including productivity, carbon allocation, and respiration
(3) Land-use change–induced carbon cycle dynamics
(4) Climate change–induced carbon cycle dynamics
(5) Carbon cycle dynamics following disturbances (e.g., drought, fire, logging)

Related Outputs

Publications

Sensitivity of tropical woodland savannas to El Niño droughts

Simone Matias Reis, Yadvinder Malhi, Ben Hur Marimon Junior, Beatriz Schwantes Marimon, Huanyuan Zhang-Zheng, Igor Araújo, Renata Freitag, Edmar Almeida de Oliveira, Karine da Silva Peixoto, Luciana Januário de Souza, Ediméia Laura Souza da Silva, Eduarda Bernardes Santos, Kamila Parreira da Silva, Maélly Dállet Alves Gonçalves, Cécile Girardin, Cecilia Dahlsjö, Oliver L. Phillips, and Imma Oliveras Menor

Biogeosciences (2025)

Publications LCNR associated

The effect of fire on the carbon fluxes and productivity of Brazilian woodland savannas

Francisco Navarro-Rosales a b c , Maria Antonia Carniello b , Wesley Jonatar Alves da Cruz b c , Flavio de Campos Oliveira b c , Huanyuan Zhang-Zheng d , Valéria Lucélia de Oliveira Corrêa b , Marcelo Leandro Feitosa de Andrade e , Yadvinder Malhi d , Andrew Hector a , Imma Oliveras Menor

Science of The Total Environment (2025)

Publications LCNR associated Ecology

Perturbation of soil organic carbon induced by land-use change from primary forest

Zhiyuan Zhang, Chengwen Lu, Jingyao Chen, Sheng Li, Xuhui Zheng, Liming Zhang* and Huanyuan Zhang-Zheng*

Environmental Research Letters,

Publications

Forest Age Rivals Climate to Explain Reproductive Allocation Patterns in Forest Ecosystems Globally

Rachel E. Ward, Huanyuan Zhang-Zheng, Kate Abernethy, Stephen Adu-Bredu, Luzmilla Arroyo, Andrew Bailey, Jos Barlow, Erika Berenguer, Liana Chesini-Rossi, Percival Cho, Cecilia A. L. Dahlsjö, Eder Carvalho das Neves, Bianca de Oliveira Sales, William Farfan-Rios, Joice Nunes Ferreira, Renata Freitag, Cécile Girardin, Walter Huaraca Huasco, Carlos A. Joly, Yadvinder Malhi, Beatriz Marimon, Ben Hur Marimon Junior, Alexandra C. Morel, Helene C. Muller-Landau, Karine da Silva Peixoto, Simone Reis, Terhi Riutta, Norma Salinas, Marina Seixas, Miles R. Silman, Lara M. Kueppers

Ecology Letters (2025)